57 lost (so that’s a roll of about 14-15). Remaining 2546. I’m assuming the Noman tattoo doesn’t destroy the noman (the wiki says it doesn’t but it would be a sucky way to find out about an error).
I was worried about that too, people here confirmed that it doesn’t.
I lost 53, so I’m continuing to have lower than average loss so far, though it’s the later ones that matter more. 2736 left.
TtH visited on January 31st at 02:31 UTC:
Predicted range was 48-82, so this week was on the high side.
January 31st
You’ve lost 70 x Noman’s Friend (new total 2,639 - The Noman is pristine)
Slightly above expectation.
With a delay in reporting, in the 30th of January I lost only 52 NF.
Feb 4, lost 82 NF, expected range 56-89.
Also delayed reporting, lost 71 on the 30th, which is on the higher end.
6th of Feb lost 89 which among the highest possible (I believe 93 would have been the highest).
76, right on the average.
6th Feb hit took 86 NF.
If I did the math right, the range for Feb 6 is 57 to 91, centered at 74. I just lost 83, a few points on the heavy side.
In the unlikely event I get the spare time this weekend, one thing I’d like to build is a histogram of Loss Minus Expectation, to validate our hypothesis of the range of values. And see if it’s uniform as expected, or Normal or what have you.
1 Like
February 7th
You’ve lost 71 x Noman’s Friend (new total 2,568 - The Noman is pristine).
Expected 61 to 94, so on the lower side.
TtH visited on February 7th at 02:31 UTC:
Lucky roll this week!
One thing I hadn’t considered: my London hand size will be effectively reduced to 4 cards until May. Well, I’m not drawing often in London anyway…
1 Like
2/11 noman, lost 88 NF (expected range 68-101). Close to the middle.
My total NF loss so far, adding together all the weeks, coincidentally, is exactly the expected average (324 so far).
1 Like
And my second Private Tattoo Inscribed in Gant is done:
Sure, buddy…
Remember to get your Tattoos this week!
Also a reminder for everyone aiming for Doubled Spring: during this weekend and the next two weekends, you can buy more Tears of the Bazaar at the Rat Market, just as extra insurance. You can sell them back to the Bazaar at full value if you don’t use them anyway.
After this round, Tears won’t come back to the Rat Market until the weekend right before Whitsun.
3 Likes
97 lost today. On the high end again. At least I have this neat invisible tattoo to make up for it.
4 Likes
Got my Noman tattoo. Lost 87, just below average.
2 Likes
TtH visited on February 14th at 02:31 UTC:
February 14th.
You’ve lost 88 x Noman’s Friend (new total 2,480 - The Noman is pristine).
Expected 73 to 106. Roughly in the middle.