Noman Melt Rate Tracking (2024)

Mon May 13 2024 21:02:51 GMT+0300
Noman MayBe lost 247 x Noman’s Friend (new total 526/3011).
It’s strange. It’s less than the last week…
Maybe FBG have adjusted melt rates for PostWhitsun weeks only?
Nevertheless, one more week to be sure. As I have understood from 20 to 23 May you cannot hatch eggs but you can use other Fest-relative areas, as De Gustibus. And then we will see… May Be…

4 Likes

Thank you for the extra observation, but I wouldn’t risk another week in case you miss the DeGustibus option.

Your melt and mine both fit the new estimate – low rolls, both of them, but within the new range:
image

The “extra” amount is still quite small, and likely would be for the rest of May (ending day 146 on the graph), but if the pattern is remotely accurate it accelerates quite appreciably:
image

But of course, this is only a working estimate. The actual melt mechanics may not fit this scheme.

7 Likes

Let me throw in my data for this year, 2025:
Jan 17: 50
Jan 24: 45
Jan 31: 56
Feb 07: 90
Feb 14: 105
Feb 21: 114

1 Like

Well, let’s go again
Jan 6: 22
Jan 13: 21
Jan 20: 58
Jan 27: 67
Feb 3: 63
Feb 10: 96
Feb 17: 91
Feb 24: 98

1 Like

TtH arrives at around 20:40 UTC on Fridays for me:

TtH Loss
1/10 31
1/17 40
1/24 53
1/31 57
2/7 74
2/14 93
2/21 109

Feb 28: only 120! :slight_smile: Only 7 more day…

Dinner again?

1 Like

Friday 2/28, 20:13pm UTC:

You’ve lost 126 x Noman’s Friend.

Mon Mar 3 2025 20:02:51 GMT+0200
You’ve lost 132 x Noman’s Friend (new total 2,156 - The Noman is pristine).

Simply a Novel Sorbet

1 Like

Sad that our Dear Leader elderfleur doesn’t seem to be here this year, but I may as well post my numbers here, for posterity:

Acct 1:
10 Jan.: 35
17 Jan.: 44
24 Jan.: 51
31 Jan.: 57
7 Feb.: 68
14 Feb.: 83
21 Feb.: 100
28 Feb.: 110

Acct 2:
10 Jan.: 20
17 Jan.: 47
24 Jan.: 60
31 Jan.: 70
7 Feb.: 80
14 Feb.: 86
21 Feb.: 107
28 Feb.: 122

Acct 3:
26 Jan.: 67
2 Feb.: 60
9 Feb.: 88
16 Feb.: 84 (this brought it down to 35 NF, so the following week’s data point would not be meaningful)

2 Likes

Friday 3/7, 20:17pm UTC:

You’ve lost 120 x Noman’s Friend.

1 Like

Mon Mar 10 2025 20:02:51 GMT+0200
You’ve lost 121 x Noman’s Friend (new total 2,035 - The Noman is pristine)

1 Like

Friday 3/14, 20:17pm UTC:

You’ve lost 144 x Noman’s Friend.

1 Like

Friday 3/21, 20:18 UTC:
You’ve lost 153 x Noman’s Friend.

1 Like

Mon Mar 17 2025 20:02:51 GMT+0200
You’ve lost 158 x Noman’s Friend (new total 1,877 - The Noman is pristine)
Mon Mar 24 2025 20:02:51 GMT+0200
You’ve lost 144 x Noman’s Friend (new total 1,733 - The Noman is pristine)

2 Likes

Friday 3/28, 20:17 UTC:
You’ve lost 168 x Noman’s Friend.

1 Like

Friday 4/4/25. 20:17UTC:
You’ve lost 181 x Noman’s Friend.

1 Like

Friday 4/11/25. 20:17 UTC:
You’ve lost 192 x Noman’s Friend.

1 Like

Mon Mar 31 2025 21:02:51 GMT+0200
You’ve lost 161 x Noman’s Friend (new total 1,572 - The Noman is pristine).
Mon Apr 7 2025 21:02:51 GMT+0200
You’ve lost 195 x Noman’s Friend (new total 1,377 - The Noman is pristine).
Mon Apr 14 2025 21:02:51 GMT+0200
You’ve lost 186 x Noman’s Friend (new total 1,191 - The Noman is pristine).

2 Likes

Friday 4/18/25. 20:17 UTC:
You’ve lost 204 x Noman’s Friend.

2 Likes

Friday 4/25/25. 20:17 UTC:
You’ve lost 205 x Noman’s Friend.

2 Likes