It would have been somewhere around there, but due to a change made back in September we’ve been told that once Whitsun passes us by the melt rates are going to start going up quite a bit quicker so the current pattern would become increasingly inaccurate. By intent if not literal mathematics, there are to be no Nomen making it to the subsequent December.
The melt rates may be ramping up even now (the notes say the process begins after “100 days or so” which would be April 14th), but if so that ramping up hasn’t become noticeably non-linear yet, and isn’t expected to become much more difficult until after Whitsun when, presumably, there will be very few if any Nomans being measured.