I have 2 Tears and 28 Airags, so if that May 12th figure looks a little too high I could drop it down. But by then, melts are expected to be 237-270 so to get the NEXT week down to 0% I’d need ~31 tears to catch up, and then about 20 more Tears to keep pace for the next week, then 24, then 27… It’s quite a lot, although 6000 Echoes for an extra week of life sounds like a deal, doesn’t it?
No, I think I’ll accept my Noman’s ephemeral (that means “only lasting 4 months”, right?) existence and look forward to next year. This was a very successful proof-of-concept considering how powerful Déjeuneige became despite me leaving London frequently to grind more Night-Whispers and Storm Threnodies, and stopping with 5+ days of perfectly good Snow-application remaining. Just imagine what could be done if one were to start planning this earlier than November!
Thank you, now my data points are not quite so lonely! Semi-related, but the tendency towards Friday “Times, the Healer” is still a fascinating phenomenon to see visually.
17th March, ~14:21 UTC:
Noman “Déjeuneige” lost 155 x Noman’s Friend (new total 1631/2500) 10% chance of melting on May 12th, but at least they got to be a pirate.
31st March, ~14:21 UTC:
Noman “Déjeuneige” lost 168 x Noman’s Friend (new total 1305/2500)
Not bad rolls, but not good enough rolls, which is making May 12th more likely as a melt day!
942-1112 by May 5th
1167-1371 by May 12th
1405-1643 by May 19th
Although, a mere 6 Tears of the Bazaar could, on average, bump that up another week… edit: reminder to self, don’t do math while sick
January 6th, right after my Time the Healer. And the Tears will wait another week or 2, I think; if I get a low roll next week that saves 2 whole Tears; if I get a low roll two weeks in a row, no Tears are needed!
I only meant to have them ready in case of an emergency. Glad to hear you’re ready!
Uhuuuu!!! 102 days! Tomorrow it will beat my record so big congratulations! There are no records of any Noman staying alive more so you’re setting history.
28th April, ~14:21 UTC:
Noman “Déjeuneige” lost 229 x Noman’s Friend (new total 482/2500)
You’ve gained 13 x Noman’s Friend (new total 495/2513)
You’ve gained 18 x Noman’s Friend (new total 513/2531)
No evolution tie-ins, of course, although I like to believe my Noman is there with us in that weird ship looking at jellyfish. And the text from the Steppes reminds me of the SSeas option to send your Snow Child on a ship heading into the East; shame we can’t presently do that in FL. Even if it involved expensive set-up and they’d still be gone I think a lot of people would enjoy that. But maybe, just maybe, with Irem being announced as a potential port…
