Rare success/failure odds

Is there anywhere current where these are tracked? I remember running across a sheet years ago, but searching for that now comes up with links that have gone defunct.

Specifically, I’ve been tracking my success rates on leveling up students, and would like somewhere to share them (and to take a look for more advanced students, if anyone’s been tracking those).

I’ve looked at the advancement rate of the Visionary Student; I’m pretty sure it’s 50% or pretty close to it. Tested with N about 40 or so.

I think the Profound student has a one third chance, but I didn’t keep stats for it.

Thanks, good to know.

What I’ve been finding about both the Gifted and Profound students is that their progress rate is markedly different between the ‘Shepherd’ and ‘Collaborate’ options. So far, for the gifted students the results have been 30/55 and 30/86 for those two actions, and for the Profound student it’s been 26/97 and 25/54.