21 Feb., 13:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 96 NF
Acct 2: lost 80 NF
Yesterday, the 21st of February, my Noman lost only 68 NF. TtH came around 14:00 GMT.
February 25, 99 NF lost. This will be my last report; I’ll be saying goodbye to my snow girl soon.
Feb 28th: Time the Healer just came and took 99 Noman’s Friend.
I’m guessing this will also be my last report on the melting rate.
2/28 lost 90 x Noman’s Friend
28 Feb., 14:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF
edited by hwoosh on 3/6/2020
[quote=hwoosh]28 Feb., 18:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF[/quote] I’m sorry, but I need to ask if that 53 is correct. I know numbers are way different this year, but statistically that doesn’t fit in with anything else…
[quote=idyl][quote=hwoosh]28 Feb., 18:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF[/quote] I’m sorry, but I need to ask if that 53 is correct. I know numbers are way different this year, but statistically that doesn’t fit in with anything else…[/quote]
It doesn’t, does it? So here’s mine! :D
Yesterday, around 14 GMT, I lost 56. Frigging 56! At first eye scan of the email I thought I lost 111, but that was, again, my Direful Reflections count.
[quote=idyl][quote=hwoosh]28 Feb., 18:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF[/quote] I’m sorry, but I need to ask if that 53 is correct. I know numbers are way different this year, but statistically that doesn’t fit in with anything else…[/quote]
Yes, it really is 53. I’ll post a screenshot of the message in a minute here…
[quote=hwoosh][quote=idyl][quote=hwoosh]28 Feb., 18:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF[/quote] I’m sorry, but I need to ask if that 53 is correct. I know numbers are way different this year, but statistically that doesn’t fit in with anything else…[/quote]
Yes, it really is 53. I’ll post a screenshot of the message in a minute here…[/quote]
Screenshot: 
Well, I don’t know what to make of any of this, honestly. For the last four weeks the minimum amount has been 60, and that’s with forty different pieces of data. The averages have been close to what’s expected, given the MINs and MAXes. But now, dropping the minimum back to 50 just… doesn’t work? We’re looking at a range of 50-100 at the moment, but the average is way above where it should be if this were the case.
It almost seems like FB has lowered the melt rate minimum after the whole month of February being 60 or 65. Maybe they decided to just mess with everyone this year and next year they’re skyrocket the numbers to keep people guessing. I have no clue.
Anyway, thank you hwoosh and Skinnyman for confirming this insanity.
I’m quite hoping that the reason they’ve done this is because they’ve put in some other Noman-related content later in the year.
6 Mar., 14:18 UTC:
Acct 1: lost 69 NF
Acct 2: lost 74 NF
3/6 You’ve lost 82 x Noman’s Friend
6th March TtH too which hit for only 70 NF.
I remember of a Noman that survived until around the 23rd March. Using the current rates, it means that at least two Noman’s will survive until the first TtH in April
From the initial 7 possible reasons that I concluded, new content for the Noman is the strongest of them all! FBG confirmed that a white friend will not survive for a full year and my take is a story triggered at a certain point.
I hope we’ll find out in 2-4 weeks what was FBG’s plan all along.
edited by Skinnyman on 3/7/2020
So much happening on the Surface so I will just throw this there: 13th of March cost me 67 NF.
3/13 You’ve lost 88 x Noman’s Friend
3/20 You’ve lost 73 x Noman’s Friend
[quote=Amalgamate]3/20 You’ve lost 73 x Noman’s Friend[/quote]Thanks for still reporting your data, it’s greatly appreciated.
Although, I must say I still really don’t have a clue as to what is/was going on during this Noman season. Everything made perfect sense up until the end of February. Here’s a chart showing the data: https://imgur.com/l8iJuDv
Also, here’s the link to all the data I’ve collected thus far. It’s a bit messy, but you can scroll to the right for a breakdown: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRNcOIRmuMaSZQ0wgDB7xvmPZjhEhMlQSv6bhSDQIQbAL4V9A92l7h35Hzcgj35PrR2SGZDaBn8neXh/pubhtml#
If anyone wants to take a guess as to why the minimum amount dropped at the end of February, I’d love to hear it.
Got enough to keep going for a while more, so we’ll see!
I’m still hopeful that it’s because they implemented some new Noman content/achievement that’s later in the year, and so slowed the melt rates to make it reachable… …rather than because they were so busy with other things that they put in the wrong melt rate and didn’t fix it.