You know, thinking about it, there are quite a few narrative hints in the halfway update indicating that Feducci’s lead isn’t actually that large and the false-tomb colonist’s bravado and expectations of certain victory are rather…misplaced.
First, Feducci is literally measuring the drapes in Blythenhale Mansion. Measuring the drapes is the political equivalent of "counting your chickens before they are hatched" and carries a strong connotation of soon to be dashed overconfidence.
Second, Feducci’s pre-ordered victory champagne exploded at his HQ! That…that’s not a good sign, expectations of victory literally blowing up in their faces.
Third and last, the diary of Feducci’s campaign manager is a long series of complaints about how things are going. So, it seem there is some trouble in paradise and the campaign is not doing as well as it appears to be from the outside looking in.
I know for a fact that Feducci is losing support right now and the Campaigner is surging. I think even a modest shift will destroy Feducci’s lead.