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Jenna Quaranta
Jenna Quaranta
Posts: 20

7/5/2012
I know that when you go to reduce your nightmares, the odds for Ignoring is "a matter of luck: it could go either way".
That means the luck chance is approximately 50%. However, I think that they have it listed wrong, because if I use 20 energy on that task, maybe 5 or so will succeed, the rest will all be that I was unlucky. So it cannot be 50%.

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armadaos
armadaos
Posts: 95

7/6/2012
My very personal very cynical take on these "a matter of luck: it could go either way". Challenges.. it's maybe like, a 35-40% chance of success, since I have NO luck with them..

And the "It's a sure thing..or is it?" challenges, I abhor. It's like a 80% success where I ALWAYS get the 20%.

Gamblers fallacies and Murphy's law.


Edit: My Grandfather used to say... "I have a fifty-fifty chance of getting it right, but a 90% chance of getting it wrong" ... Honestly he wasn't incorrect about that..
edited by armadaos on 7/6/2012
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