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Noman Cost & Melt Rate Tracking (2022) Messages in this topic - RSS

elderfleur
elderfleur
Posts: 245

16 days ago
That time of year again, where we enviously look at our subterranean selves and their dwindling stock of "snow". With the advent of World Qualities, the costs seem to be changing more granularly, and who knows what the losses might do. So, post below for the benefit of all, and look below to get a sense of how bad things presently are whether you're a would-be buyer, a noman worrier, or just morbidly curious.



Seven Day Noman Cost Forecast*: 3 x Sudden Insights, 3 x Hard-Earned Lessons, a Skyglass Knife (not consumed), 2 CP of every quirk (not required), as well as...

25 January+: 15 Taste of Lacre, 1 Pulsating Amber

*Not guaranteed to predict the future until it's already happened
edited by elderfleur on 1/25/2022

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—Elderfleur
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elderfleur
elderfleur
Posts: 245

15 days ago
9th January, ~10:00 UTC:
Noman "Aphel" lost 10 x Noman's Friend (new total 90).

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—Elderfleur
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PSGarak
PSGarak
Posts: 1470

15 days ago
Friday, 7 January 2:01 PM UTC

You've lost 35 x Noman's Friend

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http://fallenlondon.com/Profile/PSGarak
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Nikito3
Nikito3
Posts: 5

15 days ago
Monday, 10 January 6:03 PM UTC

You've lost 39 x Noman's Friend
edited by Nikito3 on 1/10/2022
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820
820
Posts: 6

14 days ago
Monday, January 10 18:16 EST:

"You've lost 31 x Noman's Friend"

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820, Upbeat Licentiate (after less than 3 weeks in town!). Yes, it does take house calls.

Victory, its slightly broody elder sister, currently a fairly unsuccessful doctor.

Both open for social actions.
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idyl
idyl
Posts: 203

14 days ago
In case anyone is interested, here's all of the Noman melt rate data for the last few years, gathered from this forum and the subreddit: Noman Info. I'm curious to see how this year might be different due to Word Qualities, etc.

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“Te Occidere Possunt Sed Te Edere Non Possunt Nefas Est"
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PJ
PJ
Posts: 736

14 days ago
Jan 11 2022 01:31:02 GMT-0800 (Pacific Standard Time): You've lost 15 x Noman's Friend (new total 85 - The Noman endures).

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https://www.fallenlondon.com/profile/Peter%20James
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Tintinnabulum
Tintinnabulum
Posts: 116

14 days ago
Late, but-- Jan 7, 3:30PM US East: You've lost 17 x Noman's Friend (new total 83 - The Noman endures)

A far cry from last year for me, if I remember correctly, when it was nearly the reverse....

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https://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/Tintinnabulum
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amalgamate
amalgamate
Posts: 741

13 days ago
Jan 7, 8:11 AM US central time (GMT-0600), lost 24 NF.

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http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/amalgamate

Social invitations of all kinds welcome! I'll return boxed cats and letters, and happy to accept plant battles. LMK if you need a discordant missive or a point of notability.
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Abzot Tralfaz
Abzot Tralfaz
Posts: 12

12 days ago
If I got a noman in the next few days, should it last until the Feast Of The Rose? From the spreadsheet I think it might, but I did get a bit lost.

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Profile: http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/Abzot%20Tralfaz
0 link
elderfleur
elderfleur
Posts: 245

11 days ago
Abzot Tralfaz wrote:
If I got a noman in the next few days, should it last until the Feast Of The Rose? From the spreadsheet I think it might, but I did get a bit lost.
If Melt Rate matches last year and Lilac opens up shop as predicted on the second Thursday of February, we've got 4 weeks of melt to contend with projected to eat up 265 - 385 Taste of Lacre (random range every week; you're lucky or you're not) so if you want to be safe you want to pump your Noman up to at least 380 Friend, or even higher. But if you wait so you only have 3 hits from Time the Healer, it's 230 - 320, and if you can manage 2 hits, you only need 180 - 240.

But, you might get lucky and need less, or unlucky and need more. That's sort of the fun, depending upon your tolerance for random chance. Get a Noman today with 400 Friend stored up and you're almost certainly fine, but maybe 250 was all you needed. Probably wasn't, but just maybe... Or maybe you get incredibly unlucky 4 times in a row and even 400 Friend isn't enough to keep your Noman alive. Unlikely, but with enough players rolling those dice it's always a possibility!

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—Elderfleur
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PSGarak
PSGarak
Posts: 1470

11 days ago
Jan 14, 2:01 PM UTC: You've lost 36 x Noman's Friend.

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http://fallenlondon.com/Profile/PSGarak
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Tigerfort
Tigerfort
Posts: 62

11 days ago
Jan 14, 14:46 - lost 27 x Noman's Friend

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Tigerfort-in-Fallen-London: https://www.fallenlondon.com/profile/Tigerfort/
Sips of cider and Parabolan Kittens available to all (PM in game); occasionally interested in some other social interactions (ask first).
Has the opinion of "pass the cat" you'd expect from a person who pushed Connected: Duchess up to a leap year's worth of days.
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Mr. M
Mr. M
Posts: 8

11 days ago
Jan 7, 14:25 UTC You've lost 28 x Noman's Friend.

Jan 14, 14:25 UTC You've lost 32 x Noman's Friend.

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https://www.fallenlondon.com/profile/Mr%20M
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Sir Reginald Monteroy
Sir Reginald Monteroy
Posts: 385

11 days ago
Jan 7: lost 12 × Noman's Friend.

Jan 14: lost 26 × Noman's Friend on my main, lost 23 × Noman's Friend on my alt.

Edit: Corrected the wrong date, it was of course 14th. It's just, you know what's the Number...
edited by Sir Reginald Monteroy on 1/19/2022

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Sir Reginald Monteroy, the Obsessive Professor
Paramount Glassman of the Ancient Regime, Cider owner, Hellworm Club member, Thirteenth Month. Inordinately fond of weasels. Consummate Academic. Compulsively editing his posts.
http://fallenlondon.com/profile/Sir Reginald Monteroy

If you desire a sip of Hesperidean Cider, PM me in the game.

Rotsternchen, an up-and-rising Socialite, Demi-Monde-Sipping Lepidopteran, New Regime Silverer and Symboliste. The titular orchid of Blutrote Orchidee. Weimar-era Decadent in the making.
https://www.fallenlondon.com/profile/Rotsternchen
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Tintinnabulum
Tintinnabulum
Posts: 116

10 days ago
Jan 14, 3:30PM UST-- lost 26 x Noman's Friend.

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https://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/Tintinnabulum
+1 link
amalgamate
amalgamate
Posts: 741

10 days ago
Jan 14: lost 29 Noman's Friend.

Sir Reginald, are you a time traveler?

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http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/amalgamate

Social invitations of all kinds welcome! I'll return boxed cats and letters, and happy to accept plant battles. LMK if you need a discordant missive or a point of notability.
+2 link
elderfleur
elderfleur
Posts: 245

9 days ago
16th January, ~10:00 UTC:
Noman "Aphel" lost 27 x Noman's Friend (new total 63)

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—Elderfleur
0 link
Skinnyman
Skinnyman
Posts: 2270

8 days ago
idyl wrote:
In case anyone is interested, here's all of the Noman melt rate data for the last few years, gathered from this forum and the subreddit: Noman Info. I'm curious to see how this year might be different due to Word Qualities, etc.
Will you use this thread's date this year?

Time to start recording mine and this year I'm going for only ~100 buckets. On the 14th my white friend lost 43 NF. Let's see if there will be any changes so Mr. Tears will plan accordingly.
edited by Skinnyman on 1/17/2022

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ESs items and quality requirements sheet. Please check if there are errors or if something is missing
Achievement list if you're feeling bored!
I am accepting Plant battles, Neath's Mysteries card, Starveling Cats and boxed cats.
No suppers, no second chances gain and no need to cure my menaces!
+1 link
Nikito3
Nikito3
Posts: 5

8 days ago
Monday, 17 January 6:03 PM UTC

You've lost 39 x Noman's Friend (yeah, the same amount...)
+1 link
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