hwoosh
Posts: 104
2/21/2020
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21 Feb., 13:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 96 NF
Acct 2: lost 80 NF
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Persona: hwoosh
R Fellow Oswho. Don't ask what the "R." stands for. The poor fellow is sensitive about it. And violent.
Most social requests gladly and promptly answered.
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+1
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Skinnyman
Posts: 2133
2/22/2020
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Yesterday, the 21st of February, my Noman lost only 68 NF. TtH came around 14:00 GMT.
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ESs items and quality requirements sheet. Please check if there are errors or if something is missing
Achievement list if you're feeling bored!
I am accepting Plant battles, Neath's Mysteries card, Starveling Cats and boxed cats.
No suppers, no second chances gain and no need to cure my menaces!
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+1
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silurica
Posts: 210
2/26/2020
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February 25, 99 NF lost. This will be my last report; I'll be saying goodbye to my snow girl soon.
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 Meika Osborne, the Reckless Researcher
 Leonard West, the Scarlet Informant
 Chizuru Nishiooji, the Rueful Ex-Diplomat
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+1
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Baruch Blake
Posts: 26
2/28/2020
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Feb 28th: Time the Healer just came and took 99 Noman's Friend.
I'm guessing this will also be my last report on the melting rate.
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http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/Baruch%20Blake
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+1
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Amalgamate
Posts: 435
2/28/2020
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2/28 lost 90 x Noman's Friend
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http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/amalgamate
Social invitations of all kinds welcome, especially games of chess and deadly sparring!
Also happy to help with nightmares, send sips of Cider, and plant battle.
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+1
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hwoosh
Posts: 104
2/28/2020
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28 Feb., 14:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF
edited by hwoosh on 3/6/2020
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Persona: hwoosh
R Fellow Oswho. Don't ask what the "R." stands for. The poor fellow is sensitive about it. And violent.
Most social requests gladly and promptly answered.
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+1
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idyl
Posts: 168
2/28/2020
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hwoosh wrote:
28 Feb., 18:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF I'm sorry, but I need to ask if that 53 is correct. I know numbers are way different this year, but statistically that doesn't fit in with anything else...
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“Te Occidere Possunt Sed Te Edere Non Possunt Nefas Est"
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Skinnyman
Posts: 2133
2/29/2020
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idyl wrote:
hwoosh wrote:
28 Feb., 18:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF I'm sorry, but I need to ask if that 53 is correct. I know numbers are way different this year, but statistically that doesn't fit in with anything else...
It doesn't, does it? So here's mine! 
Yesterday, around 14 GMT, I lost 56. Frigging 56! At first eye scan of the email I thought I lost 111, but that was, again, my Direful Reflections count.
--
ESs items and quality requirements sheet. Please check if there are errors or if something is missing
Achievement list if you're feeling bored!
I am accepting Plant battles, Neath's Mysteries card, Starveling Cats and boxed cats.
No suppers, no second chances gain and no need to cure my menaces!
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+1
link
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hwoosh
Posts: 104
2/29/2020
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idyl wrote:
hwoosh wrote:
28 Feb., 18:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF I'm sorry, but I need to ask if that 53 is correct. I know numbers are way different this year, but statistically that doesn't fit in with anything else...
Yes, it really is 53. I'll post a screenshot of the message in a minute here...
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Persona: hwoosh
R Fellow Oswho. Don't ask what the "R." stands for. The poor fellow is sensitive about it. And violent.
Most social requests gladly and promptly answered.
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+1
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hwoosh
Posts: 104
2/29/2020
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hwoosh wrote:
idyl wrote:
hwoosh wrote:
28 Feb., 18:17 UTC
Acct 1: lost 53 NF
Acct 2: lost 79 NF I'm sorry, but I need to ask if that 53 is correct. I know numbers are way different this year, but statistically that doesn't fit in with anything else...
Yes, it really is 53. I'll post a screenshot of the message in a minute here...
Screenshot: 
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Persona: hwoosh
R Fellow Oswho. Don't ask what the "R." stands for. The poor fellow is sensitive about it. And violent.
Most social requests gladly and promptly answered.
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+1
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idyl
Posts: 168
2/29/2020
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Well, I don't know what to make of any of this, honestly. For the last four weeks the minimum amount has been 60, and that's with forty different pieces of data. The averages have been close to what's expected, given the MINs and MAXes. But now, dropping the minimum back to 50 just... doesn't work? We're looking at a range of 50-100 at the moment, but the average is way above where it should be if this were the case.
It almost seems like FB has lowered the melt rate minimum after the whole month of February being 60 or 65. Maybe they decided to just mess with everyone this year and next year they're skyrocket the numbers to keep people guessing. I have no clue.
Anyway, thank you hwoosh and Skinnyman for confirming this insanity.
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“Te Occidere Possunt Sed Te Edere Non Possunt Nefas Est"
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Amalgamate
Posts: 435
3/1/2020
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I'm quite hoping that the reason they've done this is because they've put in some *other* Noman-related content later in the year.
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http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/amalgamate
Social invitations of all kinds welcome, especially games of chess and deadly sparring!
Also happy to help with nightmares, send sips of Cider, and plant battle.
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+1
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hwoosh
Posts: 104
3/6/2020
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6 Mar., 14:18 UTC:
Acct 1: lost 69 NF
Acct 2: lost 74 NF
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Persona: hwoosh
R Fellow Oswho. Don't ask what the "R." stands for. The poor fellow is sensitive about it. And violent.
Most social requests gladly and promptly answered.
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+1
link
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Amalgamate
Posts: 435
3/6/2020
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3/6 You've lost 82 x Noman's Friend
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http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/amalgamate
Social invitations of all kinds welcome, especially games of chess and deadly sparring!
Also happy to help with nightmares, send sips of Cider, and plant battle.
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+1
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Skinnyman
Posts: 2133
3/7/2020
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6th March TtH too which hit for only 70 NF.
I remember of a Noman that survived until around the 23rd March. Using the current rates, it means that at least two Noman's will survive until the first TtH in April
From the initial 7 possible reasons that I concluded, new content for the Noman is the strongest of them all! FBG confirmed that a white friend will not survive for a full year and my take is a story triggered at a certain point.
I hope we'll find out in 2-4 weeks what was FBG's plan all along.
edited by Skinnyman on 3/7/2020
--
ESs items and quality requirements sheet. Please check if there are errors or if something is missing
Achievement list if you're feeling bored!
I am accepting Plant battles, Neath's Mysteries card, Starveling Cats and boxed cats.
No suppers, no second chances gain and no need to cure my menaces!
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+1
link
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Skinnyman
Posts: 2133
3/13/2020
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So much happening on the Surface so I will just throw this there: 13th of March cost me 67 NF.
--
ESs items and quality requirements sheet. Please check if there are errors or if something is missing
Achievement list if you're feeling bored!
I am accepting Plant battles, Neath's Mysteries card, Starveling Cats and boxed cats.
No suppers, no second chances gain and no need to cure my menaces!
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+1
link
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Amalgamate
Posts: 435
3/13/2020
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3/13 You've lost 88 x Noman's Friend
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http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/amalgamate
Social invitations of all kinds welcome, especially games of chess and deadly sparring!
Also happy to help with nightmares, send sips of Cider, and plant battle.
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+1
link
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Amalgamate
Posts: 435
3/21/2020
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3/20 You've lost 73 x Noman's Friend
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http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/amalgamate
Social invitations of all kinds welcome, especially games of chess and deadly sparring!
Also happy to help with nightmares, send sips of Cider, and plant battle.
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+1
link
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idyl
Posts: 168
3/21/2020
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Amalgamate wrote:
3/20 You've lost 73 x Noman's Friend Thanks for still reporting your data, it's greatly appreciated.
Although, I must say I still really don't have a clue as to what is/was going on during this Noman season. Everything made perfect sense up until the end of February. Here's a chart showing the data: https://imgur.com/l8iJuDv
Also, here's the link to all the data I've collected thus far. It's a bit messy, but you can scroll to the right for a breakdown: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRNcOIRmuMaSZQ0wgDB7xvmPZjhEhMlQSv6bhSDQIQbAL4V9A92l7h35Hzcgj35PrR2SGZDaBn8neXh/pubhtml#
If anyone wants to take a guess as to why the minimum amount dropped at the end of February, I'd love to hear it.
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“Te Occidere Possunt Sed Te Edere Non Possunt Nefas Est"
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Amalgamate
Posts: 435
3/21/2020
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Got enough to keep going for a while more, so we'll see!
I'm still hopeful that it's because they implemented some new Noman content/achievement that's later in the year, and so slowed the melt rates to make it reachable... ...rather than because they were so busy with other things that they put in the wrong melt rate and didn't fix it.
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http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/amalgamate
Social invitations of all kinds welcome, especially games of chess and deadly sparring!
Also happy to help with nightmares, send sips of Cider, and plant battle.
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