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A Comprehensive Election 1897 Survey (Second Week) Messages in this topic - RSS

Azothi
Azothi
Posts: 586

7/22/2019
For all voters, let your voice be heard, and hear the voices of your peers by being a part of the Comprehensive Election 1897 Survey! You can find the survey here.

And what good is an Election for, if not to test the strength and validity of our polls?

One year ago, our unofficial survey was conducted with 330 responses, with insights and analysis released in the week following the Election. This year, it's been refined with a more user-friendly layout, improved questions, and a form more pleasing to the eye. The survey has also been expanded with optional questions for roleplayers making decisions in-character.

This survey should take around 2-5 minutes to complete. If you're still undecided, feel free to wait until you're committed to your cause - the second week brings new revelations and twists. If you have multiple characters, you're welcome to fill out one for each. We aim for accuracy, but remember that this survey is not necessarily a representative sample of the Fallen London population: we won't know the victor until the end.

This survey is anonymous, but you and you alone can change your answers if you change your mind before the end. Save the link after you submit your survey labeled "Edit your response" and you can use that to update your form at any time.

For those interested in seeing preliminary results as the week goes along, you can view those here.

--
Azoth I, the Emissary of Cardinals - A Paramount Presence (not currently accepting new Proteges)
Away to where the Chain cannot bind us.
Hesperidean.
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Azothi
Azothi
Posts: 586

7/26/2019
For determining how representative this sample is (currently at a size of 303), there are a few points for and against its reliability worth noting:

FOR
  • Huffam's poll results line up with in-game descriptions. The first three polls are all led by Virginia, followed by Plenty, and lastly with Shoshana. Importantly, Huffam's polls are very poor predictors of Shoshana's performance.

  • Among the (currently) 138 reported participants in Election 1895, the results match Failbetter's, with a slight overrepresentation of Dauntless supporters (23% vs 21%) that lowers the respective shares of both Implacable (32% vs 33%) and Feducci (44% vs 45%).

AGAINST
  • Self-reported Tier 3 professions make up nearly 2/3 of the sample, and only 18.2% reported as having no Notability, indicating that the survey consists primarily of Persons of Some Importance, thereby not accurately reflecting the opinions of newer players with less experience with these candidates.

  • Support for the Contrarian is overrepresented in Election 1896 (61% vs 48%).

Essentially, determining to what extent the survey represents the population is only something that we can do in hindsight with Failbetter's officially released statistics; there is both reason to be optimistic and pessimistic about your preferred candidate.

(And this is an obligatory bump for those who haven't yet filled out the survey)

--
Azoth I, the Emissary of Cardinals - A Paramount Presence (not currently accepting new Proteges)
Away to where the Chain cannot bind us.
Hesperidean.
+4 link
JaneAnkhVeos
JaneAnkhVeos
Posts: 132

7/27/2019
(The polls are wrong. The polls are wrong.)

Interesting results. Also thanks for reminding me to play The Silver Tree.

--
|| the Nocturnal Nostalgist, pawnbroker of dreams and memories ||
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Jolanda Swan
Jolanda Swan
Posts: 1783

7/29/2019
I am a bit startled by the results of the survey in the following regard. Most people choose magnanimous as their most defining quirk - and yet most vote for Virginia or Feducci.
I am by no means implying that you cannot be good-hearted AND vote for them, but... I would love it if some magnanimous gentleperson, who voted in this manner, explained how they combined their support for Feducci, with their inclination towards magnanimity.
Again, I am not being holier-than-thou. I am curious.
edited by Jolanda Swan on 7/29/2019

--
Lover of all things beautiful, secret admirer of ugly truths, fond of the Parabola Sun... and always delighted to role play.
http://fallenlondon.com/profile/Jolanda%20Swan
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Tsar Koschei
Tsar Koschei
Posts: 202

8/1/2019
They may have been "magnanimous" only from a mechanical perspective, rather than any RP attribute or conviction. It's a quirk that, perhaps paradoxically, seems to naturally end up pretty much maxed out as a result of reward-seeking gameplay. Heartless, on the other hand, is VERY hard to keep at a high level unless you very deliberately pursue it.

I had magnanimous maxed myself before I traded for about 120 clay labourers. Now I'm primarily subtle and daring.

--
https://www.fallenlondon.com/profile/Tsar%20Koschei

Sanguine Ribbon Society tournament champion.

No chess, loitering, friendly sparring, coffee at Caligula's or Affluent Photographer, please.
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Azothi
Azothi
Posts: 586

7/29/2019
Today's the day! This is a last push for anyone who hasn't filled the survey out yet to do so. More data is always appreciated.

--
Azoth I, the Emissary of Cardinals - A Paramount Presence (not currently accepting new Proteges)
Away to where the Chain cannot bind us.
Hesperidean.
+1 link
Diptych
Diptych
Administrator
Posts: 3493

7/26/2019
I'm keen to see what patterns emerge in terms of people's preferred candidate from year to year. I mean, there must be people who out there who supported both the Bishop and Virginia, I suppose, but were there many?
edited by Diptych on 7/26/2019

--
Sir Frederick, the Libertarian Esotericist. Lord Hubris, the Bloody Baron.
Juniper Brown, the Ill-Fated Orphan. Esther Ellis-Hall, the Fashionable Fabian.
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Lady Sapho Byron
Lady Sapho Byron
Posts: 770

7/22/2019
Excellent survey Azothi, I look forward to the results and analysis!

--
http://fallenlondon.com/Profile/Lady%20Sapho%20L%20Byron
Fighting the Menace of Corsetry Since 1892.
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