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Fidgeting Writer [simple math]

whimsicalstar
Posts: 1

8/20/2018

Hello delicious friends,

I am a new citizen to Neath (only 1.75 months) already preying for the Overgoat. I read many of you guys are interested in the Fidgeting Writer(FW) echo grind but I cannot find a summarised post. So here I did mine.

It says a conclusion is at most as good as its assumption. Since I do not have the resource to test the successful rate. I just used numbers here
(http://fallenlondon.wikia.com/wiki/Fidgeting_Writer). Another thing is that you need one extra action to convert a FW item into regular ones. So I assume the total action cost is the same for safe choice and proceeding.

Enough talk smile

Here are the results if my math's correct.
Please feel free to point out anything you think not right and sorry for making the excel formulas unnecessary long smile

(https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/162psflSNZjTEqZgbMhQm5RB07G8HDoGK_mI1F-c0Dvs/edit?usp=sharing)

	Base value (Value on Success)	Extra Cost (Negative value on Failure)	Odds of Success	Specific step converting value	Accumulative values	Actions Needed	EPA
Tale of Terror	0.5	0	0.7	1.75	1.25	1	1.25
Sense of Déjà Vu	2.5	0.5	0.7	3.35	1.845	2	0.9225
Glimpse of Something Larger	5	1	0.7	8.45	3.5355	3	1.1785
Deal with a Devil	12.5	1	0.6	14.6	4.2558	4	1.06395
Room Number at the Royal Beth	25	2.5	0.5	30	5.2848	5	1.05696
Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer	62.5	2.5	0.5	73.75	6.442425	6	1.0737375
Lens of Black Glass	150	2.5	0.5	155	6.699675	7	0.9570964286
Coruscating Soul	312.5

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http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/Whimsicalstar

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Jolanda Swan
Posts: 1789

8/22/2018

Please add the cost for valium taken when you fail the final roll three times in a row.
Less jokingly, I have found it to be profitable, but the all or nothing aspect means that you could waste resources for nothing. I run it for as long as I was in a Lovecraftian mood, since the story is superb. I happened to make a lot of echoes, but boy, was it nerve-wracking!

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Lover of all things beautiful, secret admirer of ugly truths, fond of the Parabola Sun... and always delighted to role play.
http://fallenlondon.com/profile/Jolanda%20Swan

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Fidgeting Writer [simple math]