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Fidgeting Writer [simple math]
whimsicalstar
Posts: 1
8/20/2018
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Hello delicious friends,
I am a new citizen to Neath (only 1.75 months) already preying for the Overgoat. I read many of you guys are interested in the Fidgeting Writer(FW) echo grind but I cannot find a summarised post. So here I did mine.
It says a conclusion is at most as good as its assumption. Since I do not have the resource to test the successful rate. I just used numbers here
(http://fallenlondon.wikia.com/wiki/Fidgeting_Writer). Another thing is that you need one extra action to convert a FW item into regular ones. So I assume the total action cost is the same for safe choice and proceeding.
Enough talk  Here are the results if my math's correct.
Please feel free to point out anything you think not right and sorry for making the excel formulas unnecessary long
(https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/162psflSNZjTEqZgbMhQm5RB07G8HDoGK_mI1F-c0Dvs/edit?usp=sharing)
| Base value (Value on Success) | Extra Cost (Negative value on Failure) | Odds of Success | Specific step converting value | Accumulative values | Actions Needed | EPA | | Tale of Terror | 0.5 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1 | 1.25 | | Sense of Déjà Vu | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3.35 | 1.845 | 2 | 0.9225 | | Glimpse of Something Larger | 5 | 1 | 0.7 | 8.45 | 3.5355 | 3 | 1.1785 | | Deal with a Devil | 12.5 | 1 | 0.6 | 14.6 | 4.2558 | 4 | 1.06395 | | Room Number at the Royal Beth | 25 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 5.2848 | 5 | 1.05696 | | Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer | 62.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 73.75 | 6.442425 | 6 | 1.0737375 | | Lens of Black Glass | 150 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 155 | 6.699675 | 7 | 0.9570964286 | | Coruscating Soul | 312.5 | | | | | | |
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http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/Whimsicalstar
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+4
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Jolanda Swan
Posts: 1783
8/22/2018
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Please add the cost for valium taken when you fail the final roll three times in a row.
Less jokingly, I have found it to be profitable, but the all or nothing aspect means that you could waste resources for nothing. I run it for as long as I was in a Lovecraftian mood, since the story is superb. I happened to make a lot of echoes, but boy, was it nerve-wracking!
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Lover of all things beautiful, secret admirer of ugly truths, fond of the Parabola Sun... and always delighted to role play.
http://fallenlondon.com/profile/Jolanda%20Swan
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Dudebro Pyro
Posts: 755
8/22/2018
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It's definitely profitable, but requires a huge investment to decrease variability, and it's inferior to many other simpler grinds. I know an_ocelot made a comprehensive spreadsheet on the entire thing, and the final EPA from selling Coruscating Souls worked out to something around 1.57.
It's definitely a unique experience though, and might be worth it just for that. Hmm, maybe after I get around to getting Paramount Presence, I'll gather all my tales of terror from side-converting and embark on a massive cycle just for the sake of it.
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Dudebro Pyro, eccentric scholar
Spare Starveling Kitties always welcome. I collect them.
For that matter, send me your unwanted cat boxes too.
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Jolanda Swan
Posts: 1783
8/22/2018
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Huh, this is what I did too, following Paramount Presence. Perhaps the maddening grind is... more maddening that we thought?
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Lover of all things beautiful, secret admirer of ugly truths, fond of the Parabola Sun... and always delighted to role play.
http://fallenlondon.com/profile/Jolanda%20Swan
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Tystefy
Posts: 450
8/22/2018
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I did this en masse once.
Once.
(It did not go well.)
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Will sometimes return to post absurdity.
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