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Heist rare success odds changed? Messages in this topic - RSS

Mizadil
Mizadil
Posts: 57

6/26/2016
Either I have been extremely unlucky of late, or the odds of finding a searing enigma at the offices of Basebourne & Fowlingpiece has been reduced since the new heist was added. Can anyone confirm that they are still experiencing 25% rare successes? My recent experience has been 8%.

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Mizadil :: http://www.fallenlondon.com/Profile/Mizadil

:: A Paramount Presence ::
Correspondent :: "Never too busy to help educate your orphans."
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Wiwo
Wiwo
Posts: 365

6/28/2016
Judging by the community spreadsheet on this, the odds are estimated at ~12.5% after 851 datapoints, which is enough trials that it ought to be more or less correct.

12.5% is low enough that you get frequent runs of bad luck that make it seem like the rare success is entirely gone.

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Wiwo. Almost certainly not a squid in a cunningly tailored suit. Surely.

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