Koenig
Posts: 466
11/28/2015
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I have been collecting these while on expeditions in the Forgotten Quarter in the hopes of acquiring a ray drenched cinder, and after three weeks of nonstop toiling in the quarter I finally have four of the five that I need. Unfortunately, I am quite tired of expeditions at this point, and I would very much like to clear my hand of these wretched skull cards before I move onto something else. Thus I was wondering what the most action efficient method would be based on the current knowledge of the games RNG system would be to get the last Skull. Should I continue doing expeditions or should deal with nightmares and seek "Curios and Secrets in the Forgotten Quarter".
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Koenig: Extraordinary. Invisible. Shattering. Legendary.
   
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dov
Posts: 2580
11/28/2015
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You can also sell them directly to the Bazaar (for less). This is what I do with Eyeless Skulls, as I want nothing to do with the Liberation of Night.
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 Want a sip of Hesperidean Cider? Send me a request in-game. Here's an_ocelot's guide how.
(Most social actions are welcome. Please no requests to Loiter Suspiciously and no investigations of the Affluent Photographer)
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MadmanAtW
Posts: 231
11/28/2015
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Yeah, I was doing expeditions on my alt as she tries to collect enough Night Whispers and Storm Threnodies for a really big bomb, and I got a skull, sold it, got another, sold it, and got a third, all within 2 days. So I said ok, this is a sign, I'm gonna try to get another Ray Drenched Cinder just as a collectible.
I've done nothing but expeditions for over two weeks now and am still at 3 skulls. My hand is full of skull cards so aside from the Cave I haven't played a card in over a week. The things we do for this game...
(Just need two more Storm Threnodies, though!)
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http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/Madman~Across~the~Water
http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/Xoricco
Accepting any social actions except the Affluent Photographer. Would appreciate warning of dupings/betrayals/rats.
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Erika
Posts: 528
11/28/2015
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Seeking Curios is much faster. Seeking Curios hands out a skull on average every... 50 actions average.
Seeking Shrines of the Deep Blue Heaven is every-OUCH. Holy HELL, I just did the math-432.1 actions.
If anyone's curious for my math, there appears to be a 5% chance (recorded 3.47%) of an Eyeless Skull from Wandering, 10% chance (recorded 9.52%) via Seeing the sights. Considering the chance of them appearing that's 1/(0.05*0.2+0.1*0.1) actions per skull. 1942 recorded actions Seeking Curios and 31 Eyeless Skull for a recorded Eyeless Skull every 62 actions.
Deep Blue Heaven math:
((60/75)*(3+150/111)+1+50/120)/3=1.63 actions per expedition supply (Tankard+111 glim per action via Lyme)
(1.62*(19-0.05*4)+10-1*0.05)*0.9+(1.62*(17-0.05*4)+9-1*0.05)*0.1+1+1+1 actions to finish Deep Blue Heaven
Breaking it down
Actions per supply
((docks cost/dock given)*(tankard actions+glim cost/glim per action)+cashing docks+rostygold cost/rostygold per action)/supplies given
Actions per Deep Blue
(actions per supply*(supply cost-chance of a sign*a sign progress)+9 bold+1 caution-a sign action surplus*chance of a sign)*chance of 1 progress starting Deep Blue + THE EXACT SAME THING*chance of 3 progress starting Deep Blue
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 Where the sun is hot, the moon is beautiful, and mysterious lights pass overhead while we all pretend to sleep.
Going on a fate expedition? I'm collecting data! Help me?
"Bottles of Oblivion" drunk in the name of content: 57
Catboxes (send more!) opened in the name of science: 1093
Fancy a friend?
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malthaussen
Posts: 1060
11/28/2015
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I don't think you can request a skull if you have one already, speaking not from experience but vile rumor. But you can get a pretty penny for them from the Revolutionaries.
-- Mal
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"Of two choices, I always take the third."
Will do all socials except Loitering or Private Evenings (all my Free Evenings are accounted for), and Affluent Photographer Betrayals only, please. I am not currently accepting calling cards.
http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/malthaussen
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Koenig
Posts: 466
11/28/2015
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Indeed. Since I already have access to the cave of the Nadir I must find all of five of the skulls on my own. If Cecil's calculations are correct, then I should begin wandering the quarter immediately. Thanks!
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Koenig: Extraordinary. Invisible. Shattering. Legendary.
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Grenem
Posts: 2067
11/28/2015
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Aardent Lore wrote:
My apologies. It's been so long since I found the place, I'd forgotten. At least I did get a request. I try to avoid selling the things as I'm not keen on supporting the aims of revolutionaries.
You can sell them to the bazaar... it just only returns 30, instead of 62.5 echoes.
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Married!:http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/takuza
I will accept all social actions that do not consume free evenings- and i will provide patronage to anyone who requests it, though it will be split between all requesters.
On psudeo-hiatus. Will be inactive and active and fluctuate without warning.
Grinding Favors without cards: http://community.failbettergames.com/topic22266-storylet-favors-grinding.aspx
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Arlong
Posts: 27
11/28/2015
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I'd recommend storming through seeking curios and secrets. The results might just be as random as Unpredictable Treasures, but at least it only cost one action.
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Arlong, the original, main, and default.
Varanasi, an Invisible Eminence who desires the magnificent treasures of the South.
Ingolstadt, an Extraordinary Mind who yearns the ultimate secrets of the North.
Reykjavik, a Persuasive lotus-eater who craves the greatest delights of the West.
Malacca, a Dangerous swashbuckler who seeks the grand adventures of the East.
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thedeadlymoose
Posts: 214
11/28/2015
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Not a scientific answer, but when I experimented with getting five skulls via seeking curios and expeditions (to deep blue heaven), I still got more of them through seeking curios.
By the way, you've already used one skull to open the way to the Nadir, right? If not, you'll need six total, unless I am severely misremembering.
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http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/profile/Eris~Jay
http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/profile/Red~Rose
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