Kylestien
Posts: 749
7/26/2015
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Okay, so it would seem I have abnormally bad luck with the Fidgeting Writer whenever I try to do it. I've been ehough 100 Tales of Terror (probably not a lot I admit) and have not got to the end once. I'd like your advice on the matter, and where you think the best place to stop is if you want a good reward and don't want to risk going further.
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I will accept all actions, though I hold the right to refuse for my own reasons. However, if you explain WHY you send me a harmful action like Loitering or Dantes,And I feel the reason good, I will consider it more. http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/Kylestien
Persuasive patron. You want a lesson, send me a message asking for one.
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Nigel Overstreet
Posts: 1220
7/26/2015
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As someone who started with 19,000 Tales of Terror, I can assure you the percentages are
Tale of Terror = 70%
Sense of Déjà Vu = 70%
Glimpse of Something Larger = 70%
Deal with a Devil = 60%
A Room Number at the Royal Beth = 50%
The Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer = 50%
A Lens of Black Glass = 50%
The EPA depends largely upon how you obtain the materials.
The best advice for garnering Corruscating Souls is to start with a large number of Tales of Terror. Eventually, the numbers will even out.
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The Romantic Egotist: Most Hedonistic Man in All of Fallen London
Are you or someone you know Overgoated? Please, let me know!
Cider Club
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Danko
Posts: 142
7/31/2015
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So I was impressed by statistics and went and spent 340 AP + 292 echoes on the Writer.
The payout was 612 echoes, so my total EPA ended at 0,94.
This took me several days of non-stop farming and I've already had all the materials. It isn't horrible, especially if you're more lucky, but I don't think I'll be playing it anymore. Seven 'unlucky' on an important roll in a row can be pretty stressful.
I'd recommend it only if you are very late game with nothing else to do and have a solid peace of mind, but not as a steady cash income.
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http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/Danko
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metasynthie
Posts: 645
7/26/2015
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Although probability suggests you'll get a Coruscating Soul for 39 Tales of Teror, on average, the feeling of being lucky or unlucky is an experience with a lot of psychology in it as well. If you know that you can get one Coruscating Soul eventually, the good luck of getting one after every ~39 times doesn't feel as positive as the bad luck of looking through a few lenses and getting nothing for them.
To manage this aggravation, I approach Fidgeting Writer by grinding it one step at a time. If you want the feeling of better odds, you just grind more -- and I've found I get a little less of the "argh!" feeling of gambling if I start a whole lot of (200+) Tales of Terror, and produce a whole bunch of Sense of Deja Vu until I have around 70 of those, then 50 Glimpse of Something Larger, 30 Deal with a Devil, 18 Room Number at the Royal Beth, 9 Last Hope of a Fidgeting Writer, 4 Lens of Black Glass. If I run out of any of those items, I step back up to where I have a surplus of the earlier items until I can reach the next goal -- and at the end, you've got a 93.75% chance of getting at least one Coruscating Soul, and a 50% chance of getting two of them. It basically converts the playing-feel of doing an increasingly difficult push-your-luck challenge 100+ times, and failing on 98 of them, into an assembly line with some "breakage" along the way. Depends on which feel like you better, but it's adjustable!
Of course you still have a chance of getting nothing at the end. But if you want to reduce that change, you just grind double or triple the numbers above -- if you aim for 10 Lens of Black Glass, you have a 99.9% chance of getting a Coruscating Soul! But it'll take thousands of Tales of Terror up at the top of that funnel.
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Positively antique
http://fallenlondon.storynexus.com/Profile/metasynthie
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