I just had to put this title in all caps, as this subject has been bugging me for a while. I have done some research, but I am stuck at a fundamental barrier.
WARNING: This post is very long, and poses a lot of questions with a lot of research. While some(me) may find it interesting, it is quite long.
What it’s really asking is for how many souls/brilliant souls your player currently owns, how many they’ve bought and sold through the bazaar, how many they’ve spent on storylets/conversions, or how many they’ve handled over their time in FL.
All I need is the number of souls they have currently, but other information above helps. Feel free to comment on anything else I say.
Feel free to read the explanation behind this below. If you’re interested but not that interested, just skip to the ‘to get to the point’ part.
The question…
My question cannot be phrased as a question, but rather as a nagging feeling in the back of my head. It started with the ‘eleven per cent?’ sidebar. So less than a tenth of the city have lost their souls, yet players may have thousands stockpiled at one time, and may have had a grand total in the tens, or even hundred, thousands.
This nagging returned with the storyline for selling your own soul, and references to it throughout the game. You wouldn’t sell your own soul for a cheap price: fair enough. Heart’s Desire involves you gambling your soul to win a great prize. These all send the message that souls are innately valuable. Yet souls sell for only 1 penny! Even if you count as ‘someone exceptional’ and your soul is ‘brilliant’, it’s only worth 50 pence. That’s a fifth of the price of your identity(uncovered)! It’s the same as a scrap of incendiary gossip.
So what is a soul worth? How are they so cheap, yet so much at the same time?
Yes, I know Discernment probably answers these questions. I’m desperate to get it, but I want to spend Fate on getting my ship first. And I’m not asking for content from Discernment. I’ve simply been scraping together information I’ve found online.
The background…
I’ve done some research and found that a high, but reasonable, estimate for population of Fallen London should be around 7 million humans(no soulless clay men, devils, rubbery men, etc). I’ve found this by taking the statistics from here. I took the population of London in 1893(our current FL year, according to the paper about Hallowmas): roughly 4.3 million; then compensated for the rarity of death in Fallen London(by multiplying the death rate of 90,000 that year by the 30 years since the Fall, then adding that to the population.). I figured that the few permanent deaths would be balanced by the arrival of the Masters, inhabitants of other lands moving to Fallen London, immigrants from the surface, and holdovers from previous cities. You’ll see in a moment why Tomb Colonists don’t particularly matter.
Now, I took the ‘eleven per cent’ sidebar. Assuming that 11 per cent is too high, we can assume that 10% is our upper limit. This number allows us to include any Tomb Colonists who might have lost their souls(assuming the percentage was similar in the years after the Fall), as we didn’t remove them from the population estimate. This number also compensates for any underestimating of the population(not compensating enough for surface immigrants: I don’t know the number, so I didn’t adjust it).
So while the Masters forbid the publication of the real number, we can come close.
Multiplying our population of 7 million by our 10% population limit gives us… an estimate that their is a maximum of 700,00 souls in Fallen London.
To get to the point…
(SKIP TO HERE)
No more than 700,000 Londoners have lost their souls(see section above). This means that between souls being delivered to Hell, souls held by spirifers and the Bazaar, and the population of Fallen London their should not be more than 700,000 souls.
So are there more than 700,000 souls out there?
We should assume that Hell takes a large portion. And(according to the ‘Track down a Spirifer’ and the soul option of Unfinished Business, plus rounding), I’m assuming spirifers hold an average of 30 souls each in their stock before passing it to Hell. We should take that their are multiple players(social actions, the unraveling arson opportunity card), we allow that each player of Fallen London owns some souls. The question is, how many souls are owned by players?
When figuring this out
This information can help us figure out just how many souls Hell gets, how many spirifers there are in the city, and how many souls urchins/bohemians/society/church/rubbery men?/zailors/smugglers/and other NPC characters in Fallen London have horded. And if we find out that the players own more than our number is…
ALEXIS!!!