I’ve just reached SMEN 9 and a new option is open to me: Make a wild guess.[li]
The price seems… reasonable? Not nearly as horrific as other SMEN options? Is it worth it? If you fail, does it take a Searing Enigma every time, if you have one? If not, what are the odds that it will? What are the odds of success?
It’s almost certainly not worth it. You lose 77 Appalling Secrets and gain menaces no matter what, but only gain a Searing Enigma occasionally. The chance to lose an Enigma is probably around the chance to gain one.
Ah, I should have read the wiki more closely. I assumed it would grant a point of SMEN because it was in The Seeking Road. It’s just an unreliable way to get Searing Enigmas. Thanks for making me check twice.